Venture capital’s wild ride
Venture capital's wild ride - my article for this month's Business Brief magazine.
- 2021's soaring public market valuations sparked a major VC boom, significantly boosting fund services in the Channel Islands.
- VCs rushed to invest in high-growth startups, amidst a surge in IPOs, and driving record levels of capital into the venture space.
-The post-pandemic reversal, with rising inflation and interest rates, abruptly ended the boom, slashing valuations and stalling the IPO market.
- Venture funds found themselves holding devalued portfolios, leading to poor returns and making fundraising difficult for many.
- The Channel Islands' fund services sector has slowed, and weaker funds are likely to merge or wind down.
- However, the rise of AI presents new investment opportunities, and the Channel Islands are well positioned to support the next phase of VC growth.
I used AI to help me write this. Is anyone interested in seeing how?
Thank you again Amanda (Mandy) Eulenkamp and I know I owe you some copy 🙇♂️ .
Seedlegals article coming soon
I had a great chat with Mo Saed of @seedlegals about what I look for before making any investment decisions.
We’ll be sharing a quick article soon that covers everything from my first investments and the tough lessons I had to learn early on, to the surprising perks of doing improv and standup!
If you’re interested in the full story, you can sign up for the @seedlegals Investor Newsletter here.
Oh, and yes Mo Saed & @anthonyrose, definitely rethink the office wallpaper 😂.
European vs US lawyers
Daniel Glazer of Wilson Sonsini for European founders Part 2 - US vs European lawyers:
- Lawyer involvement is very different in the US to Europe. For example, in the US it is the norm for tech-focused law firms to assist (in the background) with term sheet review and negotiation, and with investor outreach in advance of the raise. It also is extremely common in the US for the company’s outside counsel to attend the company’s board meetings as a matter of course.
- On average, US startups use lawyers much more than European startups, largely due to the more robust litigation environment in the US. In Europe, startups often take a relatively light touch approach to using lawyers. In the US, the potential consequences of legal exposure are more severe, such that US lawyers play a “problem-avoidance” proactive advisory role in addition to a “problem-solving” reactive one. This dynamic will be relevant post flip.
What European founders need to know about raising in the US
I was fortunate to have some time with Daniel Glazer of Wilson Sonsini who is well known for his deep expertise and network in the US venture capital ecosystem.
As promised, here are a few topics he often discusses with European-based founders who are considering raising from US-based VC investors.
Please share widely as this is important information for all founders.
Part 1 - raising advice:
- It usually doesn’t make sense to Delaware flip ahead of reaching out to US investors. Just make clear to US investors you will do so if necessary and flip as needed as part of the financing transaction. There’s a substantial difference between having a business that is interesting to US investors and simply having a Delaware parent company. Spending money on a Delaware flip, only to find out that the business is not interesting to US investors from a commercial or operational standpoint, is not an optimal use of limited funds.
- The earlier you raise from US investors, the more likely it is you will need to flip as a condition of the raise.
- At Seed, roughly 75-80% of US investors leading the round will insist on it. Those with European offices often will not (most of the 20-25%). Rarer: some large US firms without European offices are comfortable with UK and some other European docs, and some but not many US-based investors will lead a Seed round before the company is ready to commercially and operationally expand to the US.
- At A, about 20-25% of the time UK companies will need to flip when raising from a US-based VC investor leading the round; the percentages are somewhat higher for other European companies.
- He virtually never sees it required of UK companies at B or later. Again, the likelihood is somewhat higher for other European companies.
- Post flip, the admin to run your business is more expensive. There is no Companies House or equivalent in the US. You are expected to keep your own house in order. This requires more regular interaction with US lawyers, in a manner that may seem strange or even off-putting to European founders.
- Term sheets are typically more founder friendly in the US, in part because the US National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) model documents generally are more founder friendly relative to equivalent documents in Europe. No good/bad leaver provisions. Fewer investor consents. Founder non-competes are unusual. On average, European term sheets tend to reflect a greater level of control over the business.
- When negotiating term sheets, European founders would be well-served to get up to speed on US market-standard terms.
Runna is hiring
Runna is hiring for 35 people across 20 different roles in Boston and London as a result of its incredible growth.
Runna aims to be the go-to training platform for any runner and in doing so reach millions of subscribers.
If you want to help Dom Maskell and Ben Parker achieve this by joining the team below, check out the link in the comments.
If you know anyone who might be interested, please share widely.
I am a proud investor.
How to be sure your pitch deck makes sense
Here's how to be sure your pitch deck makes sense:
- Write a bullet point that summarises each slide. If you can't do it in one bullet point, there's too much on the slide.
- List all your bullet points.
- Read the bullets in order.
- If this is the story you want to tell, you're good. If it isn't, you know where you're going wrong. Edit and go again.
Any other tips?
Speak to Aisling Gray for coaching
The fantastic Aisling Gray is looking for a small number of coaching clients. Here's why you should speak to her:
- Before retraining as a coach, Ash ran PR for Rest Less UK and they continue to have the most and best press I've ever seen in a startup.
- Coaching works. It empowers you to unlock your potential. It's one of the reasons I invested in Mica Vaipan's RunYourself.
- Ash is a delightful human being. You will enjoy any time you spend with her.
My two youngest kids have a rare genetic condition. Ash pro bono helped the campaign to get a new treatment funded by the NHS. Help me help her back.
Contact her directly aisling@asggroup.me or ask me to introduce you.
Do you think AI will ever exceed human intelligence
From a debate with my friends. I'd love to know what you think.
Leave reasons in the comments if you wish.
It’s fine to say no
I often ask things of my founders. They sometimes they feel the pressure to say yes when they don't want to. I try and make it easy for them to say no.
My job is to help them if and when they need it, not to make their life harder.
It's fine to say no.
Build your own tech or use existing software and APIs
Build your own tech or use existing software and APIs?
A founder asked me this very question. She'd been told that creating their own software would make them more appealing to future investors. It would have been expensive with unclear value add.
If owning your own tech will give you a significant competitive advantage then go for it. If putting existing tech together gives you almost as good a product just go with that.
Your business is about how you solve problems for clients not what tech you use. That's just how you solve them. Yes, it would be nice if you had tech nobody else did - that's a real moat - but it isn't if it doesn't give you a significantly better product. Existing software and APIs will improve and you will constantly be playing catch up.
Everything is built on the shoulders of others. That's how tech progress works. You wouldn't build your own Stripe to operate an e-commerce store. That's not your value add.
Don't build your own tech unless it gives you a competitive advantage. Understand the problem you solve for your clients and focus hard on that.
A long way to go
LinkedIn says it's the two year anniversary of unbundled vc.
As of Tuesday it has a portfolio of 15 investments with a 1.98 multiple and 54% IRR.
I've paused my investing to work on a project I can't talk about publicly.
A good start. A long way to go.
What most European founders need to know about raising from US VCs
I spoke with Daniel Glazer about the things he most wishes European founders knew about raising from US VCs.
Any interest to hear more?
Dad’s building companies podcast
This morning James Roycroft-Davis and I are recording a Dad's Building Companies podcast for his community of the same name.
He's on his first, I have four boys. What would you like us to cover?
Capitalism and property in the Guernsey Press
Hey, whaddaya know, my article on capitalism, property, and freeing up the market to do its job made it into the Guernsey Press . Crosswords and Sudoku also available.
Thank you again Amanda (Mandy) Eulenkamp.
GCSE results
Good luck to all the kids, and parents of, getting GCSE results today.
Our first one is today. Fear and hope.
Venture capital’s biggest myth
The biggest myth in venture capital in startups?
When, after their unicorn or decacorn exit, the founder or early investor goes on a podcast and says, "This is how I knew we were solving a problem that meant we would win."
Nobody knows. Founders are doing their best among uncertainty. Investors are doing the same.
We are all just trying to shift the distribution of outcomes as far as possible to the right.
Then, what will be will be.
Do the things that make you uncomfortable
Find a way to do the things that make you most uncomfortable.
I did this with musical improv by advance booking myself into every musical class on a retreat.
I did it with standup by signing up for a course where you had to perform at the end.
It will hurt. But when you get through it, you will feel you can do anything.
Musical improv
Saturday was an all day course in musical improv. Yes, that's singing and learning to sing songs you have made up on the spot.
It's not my first rodeo but it's still scary and incredibly joyous at the same time. Give it a shot if you ever get the chance.
Course run by Sarah Hansmann Rouxel.
The buck stops with you
Founders, the buck stops with you.
● Do you feel you have enough support?
● What support do you have?
● What support would you like to have?